By James Franklin
How did we make trustworthy predictions earlier than Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the math of likelihood in 1654? What equipment in legislations, technological know-how, trade, philosophy, and common sense helped us to get on the fact in situations the place sure bet was once no longer possible? In The technological know-how of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated facts; how scientists weighed purposes for and opposed to clinical theories; and the way retailers counted shipwrecks to figure out assurance rates.
The technological know-how of Conjecture offers a heritage of rational equipment of facing uncertainty and explores the arrival to attention of the human knowing of risk.